Entire-Thunder
0x04565c2220f77897222dec11f610e7a9535b3235
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-499.72
Realised
$-12.74
Win rate
0%
39 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?
4305 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 2?
3267 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 6?
3248 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-59.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on July 6?
328 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 6?
67 shares @ 89.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
26 shares @ 38.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
24 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 6?
21 shares @ 71.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 5?
21 shares @ 57.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$472.88Jul 19, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$311.70Jul 19, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$16.95Jul 13, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$10.29Jul 13, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$10.32Jul 10, 22:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$16.95Jul 10, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$10.29Jul 10, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-09?$499.19Jul 9, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$310.55Jul 9, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$17.54Jul 8, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$10.30Jul 8, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on July 7?$5.03Jul 8, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 7?$17.86Jul 7, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 7?$17.65Jul 7, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 7?$20.83Jul 7, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 6?$38.18Jul 7, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 6?$61.23Jul 7, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on July 6?$11.31Jul 7, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 7?$15.11Jul 7, 05:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 39 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
39 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $50.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 05:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 39 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.