Conventional-Inauguration
0x04578b7af8d13e962217e3349070d3b3e7764757
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$31.16
Total PnL
$14.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
15 shares @ 27.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$14.57
$10.53
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
7 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$7.08
$2.69
- YES
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
6 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.76
$1.96
- NO
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
4 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$3.76
$0.98
- YES
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?
6 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.73
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$4.39Jul 6, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?$1.73Jul 3, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?$3.80Jun 10, 22:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid win La Liga?$0.00May 29, 19:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill egg prices be between $5.25 and $5.50 in April?$0.00May 29, 19:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?$0.00May 29, 19:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 225–249 times May 9–16?$3.70May 29, 19:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?$4.51May 29, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$1.05May 12, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 225–249 times May 9–16?$2.48May 12, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?$3.21May 12, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill egg prices be between $5.25 and $5.50 in April?$18.55May 5, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$2.99May 3, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$1.31Apr 30, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?$1.93Apr 30, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMLiverpool wins the Premier League?$2.82Apr 30, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $140 by January 31, 2025?$15.40Feb 6, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $140 by January 31, 2025?$9.65Jan 30, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $140 by January 31, 2025?$5.74Jan 30, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$10.43Jan 21, 12:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $4.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 25, 18:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 23:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".