Stale-Kickoff
0x04589a2c0b81ba2380c3f955bd9336465325f269
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$1.02
Total PnL
$-23.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
14202 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
6108 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
4415 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
2636 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
2635 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
2631 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
2627 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
2320 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
2305 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?$1.00Nov 25, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$10.80Nov 12, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$39.20Nov 12, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$48.00Nov 12, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Oct 31, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Oct 31, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$3.1KOct 31, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Oct 31, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Oct 31, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$1.8KOct 31, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$2.3KOct 31, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$2.0KOct 31, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$2.0KOct 31, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$3.1KOct 31, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$1.3KOct 31, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$0.00Oct 31, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$0.00Oct 31, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$0.00Oct 31, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$2.6KOct 31, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$20.00Oct 31, 08:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 07:23 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 25, 10:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".