Cumbersome-Search
0x045918aefc93e3b6fba3d12564d389893a5174fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$93.19
Total PnL
$-260.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
2139 shares @ 7.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$72.71
$-77.29
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
170 shares @ 10.0¢·now 11.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$20.31
$3.31
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
19 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.16
$-9.84
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
289 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-22.51
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
198 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-23.92
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
178 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-15.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
178 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
148 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
117 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
117 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17.46May 31, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$47.27May 31, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$26.35May 30, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$154.18May 30, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$5.74Mar 2, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$4.00Mar 2, 20:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $12.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 19:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.