Watchful-Twine
0x045957ea1cfd903f8aff9f03b9dce3a6dd581572
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$14.35
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
14 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$14.35
$2.15
- YES
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 13-16, 2026?
2043 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-520.26
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
1816 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Will Melania say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during statement on April 9?
749 shares @ 91.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-685.19
- NO
Will Trump post "POTUS" this week on Truth Social?
173 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-110.98
- YES
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?
75 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$12.20Apr 20, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "POTUS" this week on Truth Social?$110.98Apr 20, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Scout" be said 10+ times during the CS IEM Rio 2026 Grand Final?$63.53Apr 20, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Scout" be said 10+ times during the CS IEM Rio 2026 Grand Final?$4.95Apr 20, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Scout" be said 10+ times during the CS IEM Rio 2026 Grand Final?$4.95Apr 20, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Scout" be said 10+ times during the CS IEM Rio 2026 Grand Final?$4.95Apr 20, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Scout" be said 10+ times during the CS IEM Rio 2026 Grand Final?$4.95Apr 20, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Scout" be said 10+ times during the CS IEM Rio 2026 Grand Final?$27.65Apr 20, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Scout" be said 10+ times during the CS IEM Rio 2026 Grand Final?$109.97Apr 20, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melania say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during statement on April 9?$685.19Apr 9, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1.7KApr 7, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" or "Biden" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?$4.43Apr 6, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?$174.82Apr 6, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump's remarks not air?$1.6KApr 6, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump's remarks not air?$499.50Apr 6, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?$5.22Apr 6, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump's remarks not air?$12.99Apr 6, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump's remarks not air?$24.98Apr 6, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's remarks not air?$1.1KApr 6, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's remarks not air?$15.84Apr 6, 13:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $168.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 13:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 18:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".