Celebrated-Freon
0x045cff7b96dc1d2c4d65a6cbfc7908f67e193977
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$293.49
Total PnL
$-783.44
Realised
$-1.76
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
502 shares @ 59.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$293.49
$-2.51
- YES
United States to win the second half?
534 shares @ 41.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-222.49
- SWITZERLAND
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)
455 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-277.42
- YES
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
341 shares @ 37.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-129.26
- YES
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?
313 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
167 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMSwitzerland leading at halftime?$297.12Jun 13, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland leading at halftime?$195.16Jun 13, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$93.99Jun 13, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$100.95Jun 13, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Switzerland (-1.5)$280.67Jun 13, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$101.23Jun 13, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$102.22Jun 13, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$303.69Jun 13, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$130.43Jun 13, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMUnited States leading at halftime?$657.88Jun 13, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States to win the second half?$22.87Jun 12, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States leading at halftime?$23.97Jun 12, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: United States (-1.5)$46.60Jun 12, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$60.97Jun 12, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: United States (-1.5)$51.17Jun 12, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$51.05Jun 12, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States to win the second half?$101.74Jun 12, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States leading at halftime?$101.98Jun 12, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States to win the second half?$101.77Jun 12, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States leading at halftime?$101.98Jun 12, 15:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $91.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 03:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.