Dapper-Motorcycle
0x046025d8d36f6af5fc3381a5168c8505604e7137
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$314.21
Total PnL
$-8.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
264 shares @ 26.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$264.21
$194.21
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$50.00
$30.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
389 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-140.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?
119 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?
102 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
99 shares @ 33.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-33.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Kanye launch a coin in 2025?$0.00Aug 21, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kanye launch a coin in 2025?$60.17Aug 21, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?$10.00Aug 17, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$20.00Aug 17, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$13.00Aug 7, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced in 2025?$40.00Aug 5, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?$40.00Aug 5, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?$62.50Jul 30, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$20.00Jul 29, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?$100.00Jul 29, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by July 31?$64.25Jul 28, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye launch a coin in 2025?$20.00Jul 27, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?$10.00Jul 27, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced in 2025?$30.00Jul 27, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by July 31?$20.00Jul 27, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$43.48Jul 27, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?$50.00Jul 13, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMWimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic $0.00Jul 13, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic $30.00Jul 10, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$30.00Jul 9, 16:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $33.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 16:47 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 11:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.