Respectful-Teammate
0x046477a08492e67e5d11128a547765df76765915
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$97.19
Total PnL
$-33.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
97 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$97.19
$0.19
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?
2045 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.09
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in May 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
1980 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.96
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
1930 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.86
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
1900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 13?
1830 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.66
- YES
Trump out as President by April 30?
1800 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?
1080 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$97.00Jun 8, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$3.80Jun 8, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$101.10Jun 8, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$101.00Jun 4, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 1?$100.10Jun 4, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 1?$100.01May 31, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.12May 31, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?$105.00May 31, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?$104.91May 29, 03:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$104.90May 29, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$104.80May 24, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in May 2026?$4.20May 24, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?$109.01May 24, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?$108.91May 19, 06:42 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$108.32May 19, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$108.00May 15, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?$4.38May 15, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$112.11May 15, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$112.01May 12, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 13?$3.92May 12, 07:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $56.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 08:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 02:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.