Unsteady-Doorpost
0x0471262b2057b14728e696ab2ec627b679bf7208
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$42.11
Total PnL
$-7.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$19.23
$9.23
- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
12 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$11.76
$1.76
- YES
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$11.11
$1.11
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?$10.00Dec 6, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$10.00Dec 6, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$10.00Jul 28, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$10.00Jul 28, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$10.00Jul 28, 17:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $10.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 17:05 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 6, 10:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.