Glossy-Mantel
0x04765af0db174bae6b5bfc36b3ab40d47b84459b
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-38.49
Win rate
0%
40 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
630 shares @ 47.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2PM ET
613 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-141.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
250 shares @ 60.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
183 shares @ 27.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
158 shares @ 55.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-88.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
133 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
116 shares @ 60.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
80 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-40.78
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
77 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
64 shares @ 78.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$1.02Jul 4, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$1.72Jul 4, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$1.03Jul 4, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$2.43Jul 4, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$1.04Jul 4, 00:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$1.92Jul 4, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$1.03Jul 4, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$1.03Jun 28, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$3.28Jun 28, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$1.03Jun 28, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$1.03Jun 28, 19:49 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$1.00Jun 28, 17:14 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$1.00Jun 28, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$3.88Jun 28, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.46Jun 28, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.03Jun 28, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.03Jun 28, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.03Jun 28, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$6.26Jun 28, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$5.09Jun 28, 13:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
66/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 40 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
40 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 09:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 01:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 40 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.