Oval-High-Gate
0x0479be41c67b588ece5bdc8913beb2adb3ca8177
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$124.64
Total PnL
$-745.67
Realised
$-7.22
Win rate
29%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?
20 shares @ 93.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.70
$-0.90
- NO
Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?
20 shares @ 82.8¢·now 82.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.46
$-0.10
- NO
Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?
20 shares @ 83.6¢·now 72.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.53
$-2.19
- NO
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?
20 shares @ 82.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Oct 30, 2026$13.30
$-3.10
- NO
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,176,000 and $1,198,000 on September 30?
20 shares @ 69.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$12.80
$-1.00
- YES
Will John Malkovich be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
20 shares @ 79.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2027$11.20
$-4.60
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by August 31?
20 shares @ 47.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$9.30
$-0.10
- NO
Will Newsmax (NMAX) beat quarterly earnings?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$6.30
$-3.50
- NO
Will Emiliano Martinez stay at Aston Villa?
20 shares @ 31.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$6.10
$-0.10
- NO
Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
20 shares @ 47.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$6.00
$-3.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?$16.56Aug 4, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emiliano Martinez stay at Aston Villa?$6.20Aug 4, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?$13.59Aug 4, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by August 31?$9.40Aug 4, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karmine Corp Win the Shortest Game in LEC 2026 Summer Split?$12.57Aug 4, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?$16.72Aug 4, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael Leao join Fenerbahce?$13.79Aug 4, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael Leao join Fenerbahce?$15.40Aug 4, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?$7.00Aug 4, 12:51 UTC
- MERGEWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by September 30?$20.00Aug 4, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by September 30?$5.10Aug 4, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by September 30?$5.10Aug 4, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude go down 11-13 times in August?$5.05Aug 4, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by September 30?$10.00Aug 4, 12:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 100 Thieves Win VCT AMER Stage 2 2026?$2.72Aug 4, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 100 Thieves Win VCT AMER Stage 2 2026?$2.82Aug 4, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karmine Corp Win the Shortest Game in LEC 2026 Summer Split?$12.80Aug 4, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 11-13 times in August?$0.64Aug 4, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 11-13 times in August?$2.56Aug 4, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 11-13 times in August?$3.20Aug 4, 12:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
42/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
29% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $6.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 4, 01:43 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 16:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.