0x047a8e260db7d9f92f40390164e3e185351927bd
0x047a8e260db7d9f92f40390164e3e185351927bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-214.60
Realised
$-37.78
Win rate
0%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 28?
145 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.78
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 4?
77 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.68
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 29?
54 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on March 26?
54 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.29
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 58°F or higher on March 25?
28 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.51
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 28?
23 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on March 23?
19 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C or below on March 24?
17 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 29?
16 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on March 27?
15 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.46
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 6?$2.86Jun 7, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 6?$4.34Jun 7, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 5?$5.29Jun 6, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 6?$2.20Jun 5, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 5?$2.21Jun 5, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 6?$0.86Jun 5, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 5?$2.38Jun 5, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 6?$2.57Jun 5, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 4?$5.03Jun 5, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 6?$2.76Jun 5, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 4?$8.42Jun 5, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 5?$2.84Jun 5, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 5?$2.92Jun 5, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 4?$0.29Jun 4, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 4?$0.67Jun 4, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 4?$0.45Jun 4, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 4?$0.36Jun 4, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 4?$0.17Jun 4, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 4?$0.17Jun 4, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 4?$0.57Jun 4, 19:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 05:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 05:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.