Alert-Muffin
0x047c3bc80dbadbadb1311cb02a1f30ed8fe5b518
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close above $2.00 end of December?$1.66Dec 14, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close at $2,900-3,000 at the end of 2025?$3.96Nov 30, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $2,900-3,000 at the end of 2025?$3.96Nov 30, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close at $2,900-3,000 at the end of 2025?$4.15Nov 28, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $2,900-3,000 at the end of 2025?$4.15Nov 28, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pope Leo visit Turkey first?$1.05Nov 27, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo visit Turkey first?$1.23Nov 27, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$2.33Nov 26, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$2.33Nov 26, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Weeknd be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$2.49Nov 25, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Weeknd be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$2.49Nov 25, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$2.81Nov 22, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$2.81Nov 21, 23:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mario Rivera Callejas win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$2.48Nov 20, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mario Rivera Callejas win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$2.48Nov 20, 23:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla reach $578 in November?$3.40Nov 19, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla reach $578 in November?$3.40Nov 19, 22:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nikita Bier be the next CEO of X?$0.96Nov 15, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikita Bier be the next CEO of X?$1.06Nov 15, 23:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $2.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 23:28 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 14, 09:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.