Far-Off-Penguin
0x0481042f6b85dc61135a93de2064ac3fff302a4b
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-208.15
Realised
$-9.95
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- UP
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on February 27?
600 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-7.20
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
439 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-37.51
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
300 shares @ 21.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-64.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?
290 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-27.40
- YES
Will the 2026 State of the Union address be less than 60 minutes long?
230 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
190 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-34.80
- YES
Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 60 and 70 minutes long?
150 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?
108 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.10
- YES
Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 70 and 80 minutes long?
60 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.26
- YES
Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 80 and 90 minutes long?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$78.81May 23, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?$3.00Mar 24, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?$13.70Mar 15, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?$1.11Mar 7, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?$0.20Mar 7, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?$0.11Mar 7, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?$1.09Mar 7, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?$1.50Mar 7, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?$0.50Mar 7, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?$0.56Mar 7, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?$1.50Mar 7, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?$1.00Mar 7, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?$0.16Mar 7, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?$2.75Mar 7, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?$0.55Mar 7, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?$2.97Mar 7, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?$10.00Mar 7, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?$1.00Mar 7, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?$20.00Mar 7, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?$10.00Mar 7, 09:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $9.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 10:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 12:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".