True-Train
0x0481be0c6f8997795c043dcc120970dd5492bfec
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$40.65
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$371.27
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
40 shares @ 97.2¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$39.30
$0.42
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
77 shares @ 3.7¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.35
$-1.53
- YES
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?
5100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-51.00
- YES
Will Mathieu van der Poel win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?
3015 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-74.97
- YES
Moonbirds FDV above $500M one day after launch?
2587 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-454.45
- NO
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the top AI model on April 17, 2026 (Style Control On)?
1769 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-583.92
- YES
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
1500 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-705.00
- YES
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
1149 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-116.35
- YES
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?
1073 shares @ 48.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-519.98
- YES
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?
842 shares @ 41.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-350.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the top AI model on April 17, 2026 (Style Control On)?$600.00Apr 16, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?$147.69Apr 16, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wout Van Aert win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?$1.9KApr 13, 12:53 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.89Apr 13, 01:00 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$0.00Apr 12, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wout Van Aert win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?$2.00Apr 12, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?$50.24Apr 12, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?$22.43Apr 12, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?$26.26Apr 12, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?$6.93Apr 12, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mathieu van der Poel win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?$5.43Apr 12, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mathieu van der Poel win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?$14.57Apr 12, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mathieu van der Poel win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?$0.15Apr 12, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mathieu van der Poel win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?$3.74Apr 12, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mathieu van der Poel win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?$2.10Apr 12, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mathieu van der Poel win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?$0.18Apr 12, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mathieu van der Poel win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?$0.25Apr 12, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mathieu van der Poel win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?$0.30Apr 12, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mathieu van der Poel win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?$0.15Apr 12, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mathieu van der Poel win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?$27.14Apr 12, 14:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $56.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 12:02 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 14:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.