Pointed-Needle
0x04821f35dac7d38849122e01a88e13b30f94a110
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$118.02
Total PnL
$0.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Watani Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
29 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$28.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will Leonard Jackson advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
26 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$26.05
$0.05
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?
15 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$14.59
$0.03
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?
14 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$13.53
$0.03
- NO
Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
12 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$12.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?
12 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$12.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
11 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$10.78
$0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?$14.56Jun 2, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?$13.50Jun 2, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$12.00Jun 2, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?$12.00Jun 1, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?$12.99Jun 1, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?$17.05Jun 1, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in May 2026?$25.10Jun 1, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leonard Jackson advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$26.00Jun 1, 01:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$18.05Jun 1, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?$12.94May 31, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$10.70May 31, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$21.68May 31, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Watani Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?$29.00May 30, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in May 2026?$25.00May 30, 12:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$36.60May 30, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$10.73May 30, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$18.67May 30, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$21.62May 29, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$10.70May 29, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$18.00May 29, 09:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $19.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 16:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 13:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.