Same-Exaggeration
0x04828890fd44d8d552558e37c1aafc7be4ca36ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$9.61
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$49.16
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$9.61
$4.61
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
396 shares @ 71.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-284.49
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
325 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-75.02
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
268 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-144.72
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
210 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-113.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
200 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-69.99
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
172 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-89.29
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
167 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
133 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-86.29
- YES
Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?
129 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.12
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$9.80Jun 12, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$5.17Jun 12, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$9.80Jun 10, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$5.17Jun 10, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$9.62Jun 9, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$5.17Jun 9, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$4.64Jun 6, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$5.17Jun 6, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$9.80Jun 4, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$5.17Jun 4, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$2.69Jun 2, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$5.17Jun 1, 03:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$3.76May 29, 17:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$1.43May 29, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$5.17May 29, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$5.17May 28, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$2.24May 26, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$2.93May 26, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$10.00May 24, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$5.17May 24, 20:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $4.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 12:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 01:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.