Tempting-Haircut
0x048a6b6ae44b99e7e50523519aec4f995c2d635c
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-776.35
Realised
$-19.15
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?
2500 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-415.49
- YES
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?
700 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-91.70
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
300 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.60
- YES
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
300 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.40
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
240 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.24
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
200 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-110.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
200 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.32
- YES
Another GTA VI trailer released in 2025?
100 shares @ 47.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-47.83
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
100 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- NO
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
100 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.07
Recent activity
- TRADESELLDeepSeek V4 released by March 15?$2.75Mar 5, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLDeepSeek V4 released by March 15?$2.50Mar 4, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$0.06Mar 4, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$0.05Mar 4, 17:57 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$25.00Mar 4, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$3.00Mar 4, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$3.50Mar 2, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek V4 released by March 15?$14.40Mar 2, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$12.75Feb 28, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$4.60Feb 13, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$6.80Feb 13, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$20.00Feb 1, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$20.00Feb 1, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tien$6.00Jan 25, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tien$6.60Jan 25, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on January 17, 2026?$10.00Jan 20, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$24.00Jan 18, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$25.50Jan 17, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on January 17, 2026?$5.00Jan 13, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$23.00Jan 13, 18:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $17.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 28, 17:28 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 5, 04:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.