Plain-Rye
0x048c696b2684641a6de9ddfa3654bba372503d47
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$10.16
Total PnL
$-6.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
2 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.43
$0.03
- NO
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.74
$0.00
- NO
Will Solana reach $130 in March?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$1.65
$0.00
- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.19
$-0.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
1 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.16
$0.02
- NO
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.06
$0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.94
$-0.12
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-2.09
- NO
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
3 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.37
- UP
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
3 shares @ 55.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$1.06Jun 13, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$1.19Jun 13, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$2.40May 30, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.14May 9, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYKRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?$1.05Apr 29, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $130 in March?$1.65Mar 29, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Autozone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?$2.44Dec 30, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025? $1.74Dec 30, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.52Dec 10, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.52Dec 10, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.41Dec 10, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$14.12Dec 10, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$14.55Dec 10, 03:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.05Dec 9, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.03Dec 9, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.08Dec 9, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.10Dec 9, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$10.01Dec 9, 00:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$2.59Dec 8, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.11Dec 8, 09:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $6.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 2, 03:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 07:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.