Scientific-Soil
0x048eb71488ca0ea77f35edd81046e67182e3233f
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$15.20
Total PnL
$-43.01
Realised
$4.22
Win rate
77%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 10?
10 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$10.09
$3.13
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 11?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$4.47
$-0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 11?
422 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.63
$0.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 10?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or below on July 30?
154 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on July 19?
41 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 6?
15 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 26?
12 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 18?
10 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 11?$4.67Aug 10, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 11?$0.01Aug 10, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 10?$0.10Aug 10, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 10?$0.25Aug 10, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 11?$0.05Aug 10, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 11?$0.40Aug 10, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 10?$0.02Aug 10, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 10?$2.16Aug 10, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 10?$2.97Aug 10, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 10?$0.48Aug 10, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 10?$3.57Aug 10, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 10?$1.64Aug 10, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 10?$0.33Aug 10, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 10?$0.15Aug 10, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 10?$0.16Aug 10, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 10?$0.09Aug 9, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 10?$0.14Aug 9, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 10?$0.26Aug 9, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 10?$2.40Aug 9, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 9?$3.20Aug 8, 23:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
77% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 6, 16:22 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 10, 16:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.