Incredible-Mug
0x0494b84f04ad1732ee5dce77e5a11b3b1057822b
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTennessee vs. Ohio State$2.20Dec 22, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTennessee vs. Ohio State$5.00Dec 22, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYTennessee vs. Ohio State$5.00Dec 22, 02:09 UTC
- REDEEMKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$0.00Dec 22, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMBuccaneers vs. Saints$0.00Dec 22, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMLions vs. Cowboys$0.00Dec 22, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Dallas Cowboys win the NFC East?$0.00Dec 22, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEM49ers vs. Seahawks$0.00Dec 22, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Georgia beat Alabama?$0.00Dec 22, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Georgia beat Alabama by 2 or more points?$0.00Dec 22, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kansas St. beat Colorado?$0.00Dec 22, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill UCF beat Colorado by 15 or more points?$0.00Dec 22, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Notre Dame beat Louisville?$0.00Dec 22, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump win Florida by 8+ points?$2.63Dec 22, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5.61Dec 22, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael military response against Iran by Friday?$6.77Dec 22, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Georgia and Alabama combine for 49 or more points?$8.77Dec 22, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYTennessee vs. Ohio State$2.00Dec 22, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kansas St. beat Colorado?$10.00Oct 12, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYLions vs. Cowboys$5.00Oct 9, 05:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $7.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 18, 12:58 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 22, 02:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.