Gleeful-Grant
0x049df1ee150e065f758c084f725365465e5bee15
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$41.67
Total PnL
$-205.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
US government shutdown Saturday?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$41.67
$31.67
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
500 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Trudeau resigns by Friday?
332 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2024$0.00
$-64.19
- YES
Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?
263 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
156 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
152 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US strike on Cuba by January 31?
147 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 10, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$10.00Jan 10, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by January 31?$5.00Jan 10, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by January 31?$10.00Jan 10, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?$5.00Jan 10, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?$10.00Jan 10, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$100.00Jan 10, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrudeau resigns by Friday?$14.19Dec 16, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?$1.20Dec 16, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?$1.05Dec 16, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "good afternoon" during December FOMC Press Conference?$0.44Dec 16, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "good afternoon" during December FOMC Press Conference?$0.31Dec 16, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "good afternoon" during December FOMC Press Conference?$0.50Dec 16, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?$3.50Dec 16, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Gaza in 2024?$1.00Dec 16, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump repeal Presidential term limits?$20.00Dec 16, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US unemployment be 4.4% or higher in December 2024?$2.00Dec 16, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUK election called before 2025?$1.00Dec 16, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$1.00Dec 16, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?$1.00Dec 16, 20:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $11.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 16, 20:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 10, 13:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".