Adorable-Bonnet
0x049e3b72c0d97a99bdd0f6ad9439c7c28e07a84d
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$4.04
Total PnL
$-8.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
1 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.09
$0.02
- NO
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.08
$0.01
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.04
$0.02
- NO
Will FIFA World Cup 2026 be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.83
$-0.24
- YES
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
- NO
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?
4 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.24
- NO
Will Target (TGT) beat quarterly earnings?
3 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.25
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - November 6, 5AM ET
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- MIAMI (OH)
Miami (OH) vs. Western Michigan
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- NO
Will Airbnb (ABNB) finish week of November 10 above $120?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.12
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on June 14?$1.15Jun 14, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on June 14?$1.14Jun 14, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FIFA World Cup 2026 be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?$1.07Jun 14, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.07May 9, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?$1.07Apr 29, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$1.63Apr 14, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu arrested by March 31?$1.75Apr 14, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1.02Apr 14, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?$1.12Mar 30, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu arrested by March 31?$1.75Mar 29, 01:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$2.37Dec 30, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$1.63Dec 30, 02:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Atmosphere (Taylor Jenkins Reid) win Readers’ Favorite Historical Fiction in the 2025 Goodreads Choice Awards?$1.07Dec 5, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami (OH) vs. Western Michigan$1.10Dec 5, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atmosphere (Taylor Jenkins Reid) win Readers’ Favorite Historical Fiction in the 2025 Goodreads Choice Awards?$1.01Dec 1, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill more people travel on Thanksgiving than last year?$1.98Nov 29, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.22Nov 27, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Coldplay be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$4.33Nov 25, 07:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Coldplay be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$10.91Nov 25, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coldplay be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$15.24Nov 25, 07:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $10.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 16, 06:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 18:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.