Nautical-Beach
0x04a1763cd9af090f6012009f683341229366d6e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$278.97
Total PnL
$-924.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- G2 ESPORTS
Call of Duty: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner
110 shares @ 76.9¢·now 73.5¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$80.85
$-3.75
- NO
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
74 shares @ 77.9¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$58.83
$1.16
- G2 ESPORTS
Call of Duty: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner
86 shares @ 68.5¢·now 67.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$57.52
$-1.32
- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
60 shares @ 87.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.90
$2.70
- U 80.5
Will the San Diego Padres win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
33 shares @ 25.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$14.89
$6.71
- OPTIC GAMING
Call of Duty: OpTic Gaming vs Team WaR - Game 2 Winner
5 shares @ 70.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$3.58
$0.07
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
50 shares @ 36.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.75
$-15.25
- U 65.5
Will the Colorado Rockies win more than 65.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
3 shares @ 67.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$1.91
$-0.12
- U 80.5
Will the Minnesota Twins win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$1.46
$0.23
- O 78.5
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win more than 78.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
1 shares @ 25.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$1.28
$0.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: OpTic Gaming vs Team WaR - Game 2 Winner$3.50Aug 5, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner$0.78Aug 5, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner$4.32Aug 5, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner$49.05Aug 5, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner$5.53Aug 5, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner$85.58Aug 5, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$50.00Jul 29, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$38.36Jul 29, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gen.G win the EWC League of Legends Tournament$129.99Jul 18, 19:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Los Angeles Thieves Win the Call of Duty Championship?$24.50Jul 18, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMLionel Messi: 1+ shots$30.16Jul 15, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ shots$27.71Jul 15, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the game go to extra innings?: American vs. National$23.76Jul 15, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the game go to extra innings?: American vs. National$16.87Jul 14, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Los Angeles Thieves Win the Call of Duty Championship?$11.76Jul 14, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gen.G win the EWC League of Legends Tournament$2.11Jul 14, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?$22.10Jul 14, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gen.G win the EWC League of Legends Tournament$2.33Jul 13, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gen.G win the EWC League of Legends Tournament$2.33Jul 13, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gen.G win the EWC League of Legends Tournament$7.21Jul 13, 15:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $117.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 21:08 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 5, 05:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.