Flaky-Bamboo
0x04a3677dc6ad6657e1f20af3a290a259e8f99dc9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-148.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- DOWN
XRP Up or Down on January 5?
284 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 11?
281 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.11
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.20 on January 11?
269 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.96
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 5?
256 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.05
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 8?
253 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 17?
225 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.15
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 28?
191 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.34
- YES
Penguin listed on Binance by March 31?
108 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 3?
88 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.38
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8PM ET
80 shares @ 96.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-76.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 21?$3.16Jul 20, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 24?$2.26May 24, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.90 on January 5?$0.00Apr 10, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 6?$2.18Apr 6, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 6?$1.24Apr 5, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 3?$0.00Apr 3, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $240 Week of March 30 2026?$2.60Apr 3, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 3?$1.49Apr 2, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8PM ET$76.65Apr 1, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenguin listed on Binance by March 31?$1.08Mar 31, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on January 11?$0.00Mar 31, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on January 2?$0.00Mar 29, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 28, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$3.08Mar 29, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 28?$1.34Mar 27, 22:35 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on March 21?$91.83Mar 23, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on March 21?$90.36Mar 21, 14:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 17?$98.31Mar 21, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 17?$0.16Mar 16, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 17?$95.50Mar 16, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$32.75Feb 26, 16:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $14.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 2, 05:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 22:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.