Candid-Norm
0x04aaf2f2ed0da4be0a061eb2b404c30b1c2c31da
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$7.56
Total PnL
$-17.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
119 shares @ 5.2¢·now 6.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.56
$1.37
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
5599 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.8K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
5599 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.8K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
5598 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.8K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
2799 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
2799 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 22, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
2799 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
1997 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-998.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
1996 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-998.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
1996 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-998.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.19Mar 25, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Great Divide - Noah Kahan be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$6.20Mar 25, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Great Divide - Noah Kahan be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$6.10Feb 4, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.00Feb 4, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.01Jan 8, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMGemini 3.0 Flash released by December 22?$1.08Jan 8, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.00Jan 8, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Dec 12, 01:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.02Dec 6, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.0 Flash released by December 22?$1.00Dec 6, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$0.00Nov 25, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$8.0KNov 25, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$0.00Nov 25, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$4.0KNov 25, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$3.93Nov 25, 02:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$2.0KNov 25, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$0.00Nov 25, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$2.0KNov 25, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$997.50Nov 25, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$997.50Nov 25, 02:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $353.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 22, 09:24 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 10:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.