0x04b67b12383e6cf9ffaa983a0106a8efe6bff8cd
0x04b67b12383e6cf9ffaa983a0106a8efe6bff8cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$25.99
Total PnL
$4.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$5.09
$3.09
- YES
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
4 shares @ 56.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.37
$1.37
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$2.59
$0.59
- NO
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $370 Week of August 10 2026?
3 shares @ 62.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$2.42
$0.42
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
2 shares @ 80.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$2.20
$0.39
- NO
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?
3 shares @ 60.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$2.05
$0.05
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?
3 shares @ 79.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?
4 shares @ 54.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$1.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?
4 shares @ 49.0¢·now 46.3¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$1.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?
4 shares @ 55.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$1.71
$-0.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?$2.05Aug 11, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?$2.02Aug 11, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?$4.17Aug 10, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $370 Week of August 10 2026?$2.03Aug 10, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 8?$3.03Aug 9, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?$0.00Aug 8, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?$0.00Aug 8, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?$0.00Aug 8, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?$2.05Aug 7, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?$3.05Aug 7, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?$2.06Aug 7, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?$2.02Aug 6, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?$2.00Aug 6, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$2.00Aug 6, 00:22 UTC
- REDEEMAllstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%?$4.26Aug 5, 22:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?$4.26Aug 5, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYAllstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%?$2.04Aug 5, 04:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$0.00Aug 5, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?$2.03Aug 4, 20:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June?$0.00Aug 4, 17:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 03:21 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 09:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.