Required-Baggage
0x04bdd8baad2139baa0bc79c0e48822c36ee63946
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$7.07
Total PnL
$-20.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?
2 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$2.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Jara win by at least 15%?
2 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Johannes Kaiser win less than 7% of votes in the first round?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Evelyn Matthei win between 18% and 21% of votes in the first round?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3AM ET
39 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-20.05
- BREWERS
Rockies vs. Brewers
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Evelyn Matthei win between 18% and 21% of votes in the first round?$1.00Nov 11, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jara win by at least 15%?$2.00Nov 11, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?$2.00Nov 11, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Johannes Kaiser win less than 7% of votes in the first round?$2.00Nov 11, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$2.22Nov 11, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.34Nov 11, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end by October 31?$2.50Nov 11, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by October 31?$2.20Oct 23, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$2.20Oct 23, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.20Oct 23, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?$1.18Oct 23, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLGhislaine Maxwell released from custody in 2025?$0.97Oct 23, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLJeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed in 2025?$1.11Oct 23, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMPam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?$1.12Oct 23, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEM Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 18th?$1.15Oct 23, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israeli troops enter Suwayda by July 31?$1.18Oct 23, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3AM ET$20.05Oct 23, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYPam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?$1.10Jul 16, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYJeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed in 2025?$1.10Jul 16, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUY Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 18th?$1.10Jul 16, 09:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 19:13 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 11, 16:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".