Busy-Bear
0x04be758d9c5b91b1f1f8451a13be2e6c17aea60b
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$19.43
Total PnL
$-16.8K
Realised
$-239.85
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
10 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.39
$0.09
- NO
Will Trump announce Roger W. Ferguson Jr. as next Fed Chair in 2025?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.00
$0.01
- NO
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?
2 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$2.04
$0.04
- PADRES
Padres vs. Giants
34400 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2025$0.00
$-16.5K
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
8 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.84
- YES
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
7 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- WILLIAMS
Williams vs. Gustafsson
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in May?
2 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2025$0.00
$-0.62
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$3.21Dec 11, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vlad Voiculescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$3.71Dec 11, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$5.54Dec 11, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMMonad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$6.02Dec 11, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $6.00 in November?$7.34Dec 11, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$15.88Dec 11, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$5.80Nov 11, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $6.00 in November?$7.30Nov 11, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$15.80Nov 11, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.39Nov 11, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill FAST win the most seats in the 2025 Samoa Legislative Assembly election?$2.50Nov 11, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victory win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?$2.50Nov 11, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jim Walden win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.91Nov 11, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$3.20Nov 11, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Peter Casey win the Irish Presidential Election?$5.00Nov 11, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill María Galindo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$5.17Nov 11, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$6.79Nov 11, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill MDG win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$7.48Nov 11, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2000 in September?$7.52Nov 11, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $350 in October?$10.71Nov 11, 09:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $692.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 13:26 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 11, 17:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".