Optimal-Wedge
0x04c3045da7e7896f9444cfce96af135e9962eb1f
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?
102700 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-7.2K
- YES
Will Mark Carney lose his seat?
20258 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election?
17337 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2025$0.00
$-499.98
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%?
10653 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-677.99
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?
8737 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-675.00
- YES
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
5795 shares @ 21.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$278.00Apr 27, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYConservatives win majority in Canadian election?$6.1KApr 27, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%?$678.00Apr 27, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?$675.00Apr 27, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney lose his seat?$1.1KApr 27, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election?$500.00Apr 27, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYConservatives win majority in Canadian election?$1.1KApr 26, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$979.00Apr 26, 13:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $1.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 13:44 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 00:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".