Plaintive-Inflammation
0x04c99d4ac5b7311bbce44993a3641c9b5788082d
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-337.26
Realised
$-4.31
Win rate
7%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
361 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
71 shares @ 91.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-65.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
52 shares @ 57.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
52 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
40 shares @ 52.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
35 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
24 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
13 shares @ 76.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
12 shares @ 85.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
11 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$19.28Jul 16, 10:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$0.01Jul 16, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$18.71Jul 16, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$14.25Jul 16, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$1.02Jul 16, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$1.01Jul 16, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$16.86Jul 16, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$15.13Jul 16, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$15.24Jul 16, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$15.12Jul 16, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$14.58Jul 16, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$14.05Jul 16, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$14.40Jul 16, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$14.08Jul 16, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$14.01Jul 16, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$13.17Jul 16, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$11.37Jul 16, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$10.26Jul 16, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$1.54Jul 16, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$1.03Jul 16, 08:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
63/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
7% win rate over 30 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
30 closed markets, 7% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $14.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 07:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 10:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.