Trained-Broker
0x04ca8da964762ec17dc5589ef340a53574ccc564
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$17.03
Total PnL
$-150.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
493 shares @ 2.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$17.03
$7.03
- YES
UK civil war in 2024?
1000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?
450 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-14.37
- YES
Israel strikes Iranian oil in October?
381 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December?
119 shares @ 29.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?
114 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2024$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Ukraine strike on Moscow before November?
109 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December?
95 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
52 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-23.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?$10.00Jan 26, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$10.00Oct 21, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?$14.37Oct 21, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?$12.00Oct 28, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kurakhove before December?$23.00Oct 28, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia recapture Sudzha before December?$35.00Oct 28, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUK civil war in 2024?$8.00Oct 27, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine strike on Moscow before November?$5.00Oct 26, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iranian oil in October?$15.00Oct 26, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December?$35.00Oct 25, 15:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $16.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 25, 15:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 10:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".