Torn-Associate-Elicit
0x04caaf3861a16e3c8fc4caaec1672b26f107f996
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
89
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-219.79
Realised
$-8.13
Win rate
0%
89 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 89- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
122 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
108 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
102 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
45 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-24.69
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
36 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8PM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
22 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
20 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$25.47Jul 13, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$10.38Jul 13, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$4.12Jul 13, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$1.05Jul 13, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$1.06Jul 13, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7AM ET$0.16Jul 13, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7AM ET$1.04Jul 13, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.20Jul 12, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.06Jul 12, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9AM ET$2.44Jul 12, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9AM ET$1.04Jul 12, 13:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7AM ET$2.05Jul 12, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7AM ET$1.04Jul 12, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11AM ET$5.00Jul 11, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11AM ET$1.06Jul 11, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8AM ET$2.56Jul 11, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8AM ET$1.04Jul 11, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$1.06Jul 10, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$2.01Jul 10, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.04Jul 10, 20:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
63/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 89 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
89 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $3.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 08:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 12:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 89 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.