Foolhardy-Detector
0x04cae6eea2d58a867abf82f289a30310973f67c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-85.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 12-18?
700 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-6.30
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on January 16?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?
199 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.55
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.10 and $2.20 on January 16?
149 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-18.37
- YES
Will Trump say "Churchill" this week? (March 15)
143 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 12-18?
100 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Polish president on September 3?
87 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.79
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of April 6 2026?
73 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.03
- YES
Will MrBeast say "My Wife" during his next YouTube video?
71 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 16?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of April 6 2026?$4.19Apr 8, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?$4.20Mar 25, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?$21.70Mar 17, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?$0.00Mar 17, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?$20.00Mar 17, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUY50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?$15.55Mar 15, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Regime change" this week? (March 15)$5.00Mar 15, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Churchill" this week? (March 15)$5.00Mar 15, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?$13.50Mar 10, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?$11.40Mar 10, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "My Wife" during his next YouTube video?$10.00Mar 7, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?$21.00Mar 7, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $2.10 and $2.20 on January 16?$6.37Jan 16, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on January 16?$0.46Jan 16, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.30 January 12-18?$0.29Jan 16, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 16?$0.19Jan 16, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 16?$1.54Jan 16, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 16?$1.57Jan 16, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 16?$1.01Jan 16, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 12-18?$4.80Jan 16, 11:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $5.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 2, 22:38 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 13:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".