Hasty-Organ
0x04d3900eaf9c6ede0d14e226c8f00fd6a6b2d029
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-38.18
Realised
$-22.92
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on March 27?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 13?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
15 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C or higher on March 4?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on March 28?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
5 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on March 29?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$0.00Mar 31, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.89Mar 31, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$1.89Mar 31, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$6.75Mar 31, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$1.00Mar 31, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on March 27?$1.00Mar 27, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on March 26?$2.63Mar 27, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on March 27?$6.12Mar 27, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on March 27?$28.04Mar 26, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on March 29?$1.00Mar 26, 17:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on March 25?$1.54Mar 26, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on March 28?$1.00Mar 24, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on March 27?$1.00Mar 24, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on March 26?$1.00Mar 24, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on March 25?$1.00Mar 24, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by April 30?$31.50Mar 24, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$26.04Mar 19, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$1.00Mar 14, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 13?$1.00Mar 13, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C or higher on March 4?$1.00Mar 3, 11:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $7.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 10, 18:39 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 17:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".