Upset-Pumpernickel
0x04d77d989002a1dc3972fecd65e83709decedddc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Another 5.0 or above earthquake in Greece by September 30?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
6 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Felix Protocol launch a token in 2025?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$3.17Dec 2, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$4.00Nov 28, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.00Nov 15, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?$2.38Nov 15, 15:54 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$1.20Oct 19, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$1.00Oct 10, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Crypto Edition$1.68Oct 10, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMPlasma >$8B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?$5.00Oct 10, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYPlasma >$8B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?$1.30Sep 21, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$1.00Sep 21, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$2.00Sep 21, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$4.30Sep 19, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Crypto Edition$1.34Sep 18, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Felix Protocol launch a token in 2025?$2.00Sep 18, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$4.00Sep 18, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother 5.0 or above earthquake in Greece by September 30?$5.00Sep 18, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$12.00Sep 18, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$3.00Sep 18, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?$1.00Sep 18, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on June 30?$4.35Jul 22, 17:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $12.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 10:04 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 2, 02:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".