Quixotic-Burst
0x04dc5ebd1d657765bf1e41e27458050895b387eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$4.73
Total PnL
$-8.52
Realised
$0.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 24?
5 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$4.73
$2.79
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on April 21?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on April 22?
44 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 22?
9 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?
8 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
4 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
4 shares @ 23.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
3 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on April 24?$1.00Apr 24, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 24?$2.00Apr 24, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 23?$1.02Apr 23, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 23?$1.00Apr 23, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?$1.00Apr 23, 10:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by April 30, 2026?$0.21Apr 22, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on April 22?$1.00Apr 22, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 22?$1.00Apr 22, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by April 30, 2026?$0.50Apr 22, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?$0.00Apr 22, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 22, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 22?$1.08Apr 22, 17:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?$0.50Apr 22, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 22?$1.00Apr 22, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 22?$0.95Apr 22, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?$0.51Apr 22, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?$1.00Apr 22, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$1.00Apr 22, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 22?$1.00Apr 22, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$1.50Apr 21, 22:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 13:48 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 10:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.