Bustling-Cost
0x04decbce09cedf2f2749e8f9ebcafcddd7c8922a
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$10.53
Total PnL
$-82.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
80 shares @ 10.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$10.00
$2.00
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.53
$-0.47
- YES
Will Jean-Paul Lecoq be the next mayor of Le Havre?
1732 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-20.87
- YES
Will François Piquemal be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?
187 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-43.23
- NO
Will Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?
19 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.03Jun 1, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Paul Lecoq be the next mayor of Le Havre?$1.85Mar 22, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$2.67Mar 22, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Piquemal be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?$1.86Mar 21, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Piquemal be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?$4.47Mar 21, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Piquemal be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?$8.30Mar 21, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Paul Lecoq be the next mayor of Le Havre?$1.22Mar 20, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Paul Lecoq be the next mayor of Le Havre?$0.71Mar 20, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Paul Lecoq be the next mayor of Le Havre?$1.96Mar 20, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Paul Lecoq be the next mayor of Le Havre?$1.08Mar 20, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Paul Lecoq be the next mayor of Le Havre?$1.37Mar 20, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Paul Lecoq be the next mayor of Le Havre?$1.69Mar 20, 13:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?$22.25Mar 20, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Piquemal be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?$20.00Mar 18, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$5.00Mar 17, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sophia Chikirou advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?$8.33Mar 17, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Paul Lecoq be the next mayor of Le Havre?$10.00Mar 16, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sophia Chikirou advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?$20.00Mar 16, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Piquemal be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?$5.00Mar 16, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Paul Lecoq be the next mayor of Le Havre?$1.00Mar 16, 06:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $6.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 07:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 12:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.