Puzzled-Garb
0x04e978aa9238e0413538d7200cbb26c7bc2e9ec6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-214.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 April 13-19?
200 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 May 4-10?
192 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 24?
168 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.68
- PEPPERDINE WAVES
Pepperdine Waves vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs
142 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.70
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 23?
138 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on March 11?
126 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.64
- YES
Will XRP reach $1.50 March 9-15?
124 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.76
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 25?
90 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.06
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 24?
88 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.68
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on March 17?
75 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 24?$1.80Jul 23, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 11?$2.49Jul 11, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 5?$65.61Jun 4, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 4?$2.09Jun 4, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 27?$64.20May 27, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 27?$0.08May 26, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 27?$61.94May 26, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 24?$1.80May 23, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 20?$68.43May 20, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 20?$0.42May 19, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 20?$65.96May 19, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 18?$1.43May 17, 18:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 12?$61.70May 12, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 12?$3.52May 12, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 12?$53.24May 12, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 May 4-10?$1.23May 10, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?$0.00May 1, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,600 April 13-19?$1.72Apr 19, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 12?$75.13Apr 19, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 12?$0.13Apr 11, 23:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $20.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 21:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 16:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.