Sizzling-Fiberglass
0x04ebce4563833e4ddb35972ea2409f71d3c59fa4
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$8.62
Total PnL
$-104.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?
5 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$4.54
$1.77
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 8?
4 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$4.08
$2.08
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
300 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by December 31?
94 shares @ 53.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on December 8?
80 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- FNATIC
Valorant: T1 vs Fnatic (BO5)
55 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-26.40
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10PM ET
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
24 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 11PM ET
15 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?$2.77Dec 8, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on December 8?$2.00Dec 8, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on December 8?$4.00Dec 8, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$1.90Dec 7, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$2.10Dec 7, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$5.00Dec 7, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$5.00Dec 7, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$1.00Dec 7, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$1.00Dec 7, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMOver 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$24.77Dec 7, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$24.72Dec 6, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLOver 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$1.95Dec 6, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLOver 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$10.00Dec 6, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLOver 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$5.61Dec 6, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLOver 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$7.16Dec 6, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$21.94Dec 6, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: T1 vs Fnatic (BO5)$26.40Dec 6, 16:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $240 in October?$10.87Nov 20, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on October 21?$4.35Oct 31, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?$5.05Oct 31, 10:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $9.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 21, 02:47 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 8, 15:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".