Ambitious-Edition
0x04f51660ee0437038b1f99fea9c1c6ee4bd81ced
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-33.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on October 2?
200 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
138 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on October 2?
100 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$0.00
$-5.90
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on October 10?
82 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-9.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$5.10Oct 11, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$5.08Oct 11, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on October 10?$9.80Oct 10, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end October 3-5?$9.82Oct 10, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 3-5?$9.22Oct 2, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on October 2?$6.00Oct 2, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on October 2?$7.00Oct 2, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on October 2?$5.90Oct 2, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the top AI model on September 30?$5.26Oct 2, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $6.00 in September?$5.47Oct 2, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4800 in September?$5.48Oct 2, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $6000 in September?$5.69Oct 2, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $350 in September?$6.20Oct 2, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4800 in September?$5.40Sep 25, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $126,000 September 15-21?$5.41Sep 25, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $6.00 in September?$5.42Sep 18, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on September 30?$5.20Sep 18, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $350 in September?$6.10Sep 18, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $126,000 September 15-21?$5.32Sep 18, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $6000 in September?$5.60Sep 18, 14:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $5.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 10:20 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 11, 09:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".