Raw-Till
0x04fac57036be534aa4860bee47c82a0a579dce38
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$28.57
Total PnL
$-69.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2024?
29 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$28.57
$18.57
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?
132 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?
104 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
U.S. recession before May 2025?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Ken Paxton be a member of the Trump administration?
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2024?
46 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-8.50
- YES
Will George Simion win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
36 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Gold close at $2,700-2,800 at the end of 2024?
34 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis be a member of the Trump administration?
28 shares @ 36.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?$3.00Feb 5, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?$3.00Feb 5, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?$1.00Jan 5, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$1.00Jan 1, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$5.00Dec 12, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?$7.00Dec 12, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$8.69Dec 10, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recession before May 2025?$10.00Dec 9, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2024?$8.50Dec 9, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $2,700-2,800 at the end of 2024?$10.00Dec 9, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2024?$10.00Dec 9, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$10.00Dec 8, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ben Carson be a member of the Trump administration?$10.00Dec 8, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ron DeSantis be a member of the Trump administration?$10.00Dec 8, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton be a member of the Trump administration?$10.00Dec 8, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$10.00Dec 8, 10:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $7.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 8, 10:58 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 5, 15:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".