Valid-Psychologist
0x04fc47f282f7ebbaafa849e787f81b43a6720e31
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$23.6K
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-274.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
24012 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.4K
$156.15
- NO
Makina FDV above $80M one day after launch?
129 shares @ 79.8¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$103.44
$0.93
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 10?
16000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 9?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
6159 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
900 shares @ 40.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-366.00
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
300 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-57.00
- YES
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
200 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-62.00
- BILIBILI GAMING
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
15 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
13 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.64
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$23.3KJun 1, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$11.96Jun 1, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$4.4KJun 1, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$15.0KJun 1, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$1.7KJun 1, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$2.8KJun 1, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$12.8KJun 1, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$1.7KMay 28, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$2.6KMay 28, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$12.2KMay 10, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?$12.2KMay 9, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?$12.0KMay 8, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$94.52May 2, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$9.98May 2, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$9.99May 2, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$3.90May 2, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$9.99May 2, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$3.90May 2, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$9.99May 2, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$9.98May 2, 14:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 13:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 12:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.