0x05068a5c2e385b12c5cddfaa91ee04568471bc49
0x05068a5c2e385b12c5cddfaa91ee04568471bc49
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$168.22
Total PnL
$-817.45
Realised
$0.47
Win rate
64%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 23?
37 shares @ 77.5¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$32.61
$4.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 24?
29 shares @ 69.2¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$22.51
$2.65
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 23?
24 shares @ 81.8¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$20.02
$0.16
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 23?
28 shares @ 69.9¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$13.77
$-6.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 23?
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$10.00
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 23?
10 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$9.87
$-0.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 24?
10 shares @ 97.8¢·now 96.2¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$9.78
$-0.16
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 23?
12 shares @ 82.4¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$9.40
$-0.53
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 23?
9 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$8.72
$0.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 23?
8 shares @ 98.8¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$7.36
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 23?$5.00Jul 23, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 23?$1.02Jul 23, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 23?$0.61Jul 23, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 23?$0.70Jul 23, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 23?$4.93Jul 23, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 23?$0.16Jul 23, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 23?$4.98Jul 23, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 24?$5.03Jul 23, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 22?$41.11Jul 23, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 22?$3.80Jul 23, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 22?$30.48Jul 23, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 22?$5.02Jul 23, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 22?$9.07Jul 23, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 23?$4.99Jul 23, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 23?$5.02Jul 23, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 23?$5.00Jul 23, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 23?$4.57Jul 23, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 24?$3.73Jul 23, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 24?$3.74Jul 23, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 24?$3.74Jul 23, 07:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
64% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $4.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 20:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 11:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.