Shy-Colonisation
0x0507dfe08c440a20d2646c6f8de4661169183e1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$35.58
Win rate
89%
99 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
3032 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-30.32
- UP
Solana Up or Down on February 4?
2485 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-123.47
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
2360 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-8.17
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
2104 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-21.04
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 1AM ET
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1AM ET
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5PM ET
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7PM ET
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$1.00Apr 30, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$0.04Apr 30, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$0.32Apr 30, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$0.63Apr 30, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$0.50Apr 30, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$0.50Apr 30, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$0.10Apr 30, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$0.40Apr 30, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$0.50Apr 30, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$0.50Apr 30, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$0.09Apr 30, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$0.21Apr 30, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$0.20Apr 30, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$0.50Apr 30, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$0.42Apr 30, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$0.08Apr 30, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$0.05Apr 30, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$1.00Apr 30, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$0.50Apr 30, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$0.50Apr 30, 04:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
75/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
89% win rate over 99 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 21/100.
99 closed markets, 89% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 02:33 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 05:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 99 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.