Sparkling-Politics
0x050a08edf1e1033a12bebf8bfb0a6aa5e8509a4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-42.18
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on March 27?
1330 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-171.29
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 7?
1140 shares @ 36.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-415.54
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
480 shares @ 18.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on March 30?
375 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-206.48
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
250 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-59.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
200 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on November 6?
200 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-71.00
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
200 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 17?
100 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 17?$55.00Apr 17, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 14?$29.98Apr 14, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 14?$6.47Apr 13, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 14?$24.44Apr 13, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 14?$2.90Apr 13, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 14?$1.22Apr 13, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 14?$1.22Apr 13, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 14?$1.22Apr 13, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 14?$12.22Apr 13, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 14?$3.45Apr 13, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 14?$1.83Apr 13, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 12?$100.00Apr 13, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 13?$25.89Apr 13, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 13?$5.00Apr 13, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 13?$19.50Apr 13, 04:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 13?$27.60Apr 13, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 12?$64.51Apr 11, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 13?$65.70Apr 11, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 13?$7.30Apr 11, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 11?$1.00Apr 10, 14:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $13.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 14:36 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".