Definitive-Trigonometry
0x0515dcdbdfdbc5603e34a9e380664cfa4980f02b
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$136.88
Total PnL
$-2.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on July 23?
12 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$12.02
$0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 23?
12 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$11.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C or higher on July 23?
12 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$11.96
$-0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on July 23?
12 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$11.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 23?
12 shares @ 86.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$11.11
$0.43
- YES
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 22?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$9.95
$-0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 42°C on July 23?
10 shares @ 99.4¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$9.93
$-0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 42°C on July 23?
10 shares @ 99.4¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$9.87
$-0.11
- YES
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on July 22?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$9.86
$-0.12
- NO
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on July 22?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$9.85
$-0.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on July 22?$9.98Jul 22, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 23?$6.00Jul 22, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 23?$6.00Jul 22, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 22?$9.98Jul 22, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 42°C on July 23?$4.99Jul 22, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 23?$5.38Jul 22, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 42°C on July 23?$4.99Jul 22, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 23?$5.38Jul 22, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 22?$6.03Jul 22, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 42°C on July 23?$4.99Jul 22, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 22?$10.06Jul 22, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 22?$12.92Jul 22, 16:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 22?$1.13Jul 22, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 22?$0.00Jul 22, 16:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 42°C on July 22?$10.29Jul 22, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 23?$4.99Jul 22, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 23?$4.99Jul 22, 16:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 22?$11.77Jul 22, 16:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on July 22?$12.12Jul 22, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C or higher on July 23?$5.11Jul 22, 16:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $6.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 03:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 18:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.