0x0525b11d9c835b9320a95ebc6a5e04b6cd94215e
0x0525b11d9c835b9320a95ebc6a5e04b6cd94215e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-109.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- THIAGO MONTEIRO
Santiago: Thiago Monteiro vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- JAPAN
Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuela
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Japan make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on March 15?
1667 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.48
- YES
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?
972 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- NO
Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
854 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
147 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.77
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on March 14?
132 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.13
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 17?
125 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.75
- YES
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?
104 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 17?$2.86Mar 17, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 17?$0.28Mar 17, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 17?$0.06Mar 17, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 17?$0.06Mar 17, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 17?$0.06Mar 17, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 17?$0.06Mar 17, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 17?$1.11Mar 17, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?$5.00Mar 16, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUY50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?$5.00Mar 16, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $78,000 on March 15?$0.56Mar 16, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $78,000 on March 15?$1.93Mar 16, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 17?$1.75Mar 16, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 17?$0.26Mar 15, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 17?$0.26Mar 15, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$5.00Mar 15, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$5.00Mar 15, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$5.00Mar 15, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$5.00Mar 15, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$2.70Mar 15, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$2.30Mar 15, 15:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $3.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 19:07 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 09:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.