Messy-Republic
0x0532ced21ea3408cd46b3b5c393333c26e290a3a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-1.86
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
833 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- OVER
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5
754 shares @ 85.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-643.61
- NO
Will Anca Alexandrescu get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?
662 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-562.36
- YES
Will Trump say "BRICS" or "NATO" 2+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?
628 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-490.31
- YES
Will @Grok resume replying by Wednesday?
590 shares @ 60.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2025$0.00
$-359.54
- YES
Will Anca Alexandrescu get between 15% and 20% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?
45 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYReal Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5$643.61Dec 10, 21:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anca Alexandrescu get at least 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?$44.96Dec 9, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Daniel Băluță get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?$598.65Dec 9, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniel Băluță get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?$580.45Dec 7, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anca Alexandrescu get at least 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?$273.39Dec 7, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anca Alexandrescu get at least 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?$9.95Dec 7, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anca Alexandrescu get at least 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?$63.01Dec 7, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anca Alexandrescu get at least 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?$19.90Dec 7, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anca Alexandrescu get at least 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?$124.38Dec 7, 20:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anca Alexandrescu get at least 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?$19.90Dec 7, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anca Alexandrescu get between 15% and 20% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?$2.10Dec 7, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anca Alexandrescu get at least 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?$13.94Dec 7, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anca Alexandrescu get at least 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?$57.72Dec 7, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anca Alexandrescu get at least 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?$275.21Dec 7, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anca Alexandrescu get at least 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?$310.20Dec 7, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anca Alexandrescu get at least 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?$8.45Dec 7, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$564.23Dec 7, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anca Alexandrescu get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?$30.00Dec 7, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anca Alexandrescu get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?$594.22Dec 7, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$500.00Dec 7, 18:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $287.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 18:26 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 10, 21:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".