0x05422318d43bfd7070529823fddd14858c097afb
0x05422318d43bfd7070529823fddd14858c097afb
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$80.27
Total PnL
$8.54
Realised
$-0.48
Win rate
0%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 19?
5 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$5.00
$1.65
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 19?
5 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$5.00
$1.60
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 19?
5 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$5.00
$0.90
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 19?
5 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$5.00
$1.80
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 19?
5 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$5.00
$1.60
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 19?
5 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$5.00
$1.65
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 19?
5 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$5.00
$1.35
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 19?
5 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$5.00
$1.95
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 19?
5 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$5.00
$1.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 19?
5 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$5.00
$1.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on August 20?$4.14Aug 19, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 20?$3.89Aug 19, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 20?$3.41Aug 19, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 20?$3.55Aug 19, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 20?$3.31Aug 19, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 20?$3.80Aug 19, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 20?$3.99Aug 19, 23:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 18?$0.00Aug 19, 09:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 18?$5.00Aug 19, 09:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 18?$5.00Aug 19, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 18?$0.00Aug 19, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 18?$0.00Aug 19, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 18?$5.00Aug 19, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 19?$3.41Aug 19, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 19?$4.14Aug 18, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 19?$3.45Aug 18, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 19?$3.80Aug 18, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 19?$3.11Aug 18, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 19?$4.04Aug 18, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 19?$3.80Aug 18, 23:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $3.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 23:04 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 23:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.